Prior to the US invasion of Iraq in 2003, the nation’s intelligence services warned the president that a military invasion of Iraq would fuel Islamist extremism and provide an opportunity for al Qaeda and Iran to exploit post-invasion disorder there, according to a new report released Friday.
The studies by the National Intelligence Council (NIC), redacted versions of which were released here Friday by the Senate Intelligence Committee, warned that the US invasion and subsequent occupation would likely benefit al-Qaeda and boost political Islam throughout the region. It also predicted that “domestic groups (in Iraq) would engage in violent conflict with each other unless an occupying force prevented them from doing so.”
In addition, the NIC anticipated the emergence of an insurgency consisting of ex-Baathists “(who) could forge an alliance with existing terrorist organizations or act independently to wage guerrilla warfare against the new government or Coalition forces.”
So what was the invasion all about? It couldn’t have been to bring peace and security to the Iraqi people, because the Bush gang knew that chaos would ensue. It couldn’t have been to fight terrorism, because they also knew that invading Iraq would provide a haven for Al Qaeda.
Was is to win a war? A series of secret war games in 1999 predicted that an invasion of Iraq would require 400–thousand troops, and even then chaos might ensue, so it doesn’t appear that winning was desired either.